Albania versus Italy Forecast: Azzurri will win narrowly to begin their defence of the Euro title.

Ahead of this match in Group B of Euro 2024, our football expert offers his top three picks and predictions for Italy vs. Albania.

 

Prediction for Italy vs. Albania: Odds, Background, and Matchups

 

Best Odds for Albania vs. Italy

 

Italy will triumph and both teams will score. No, with odds of 1.50 on Stake, meaning that the Italians have a 51.3% and 50% probability of winning as the only team to score.

Gianluca Scamacca to score: The Italian forward has a 41.7% probability of scoring, according to Stake’s 2.43 odds.

Under 2.5 goals, which translates to a 56.3% likelihood of two goals or fewer being scored, has odds of 1.76 on Stake.

Italy should be able to defeat Albania 1-0 and secure a crucial first-round victory.

 

Our Analysis: Both Teams’ Form

 

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After Spain and Croatia played earlier in the day, this is the second Group B match of the day. As a result, both teams will comprehend the importance of winning a contested segment.

 

Italy finished in second place, six points behind England, but only ahead of Ukraine on goal differential, meaning they qualified for this tournament. Halfway through the season, the Azzurri replaced their manager, having only won four of their eight games. They have won three and drew one of their four warm-up matches in advance of Euro 2024, going undefeated in their last six international games.

 

Albania unexpectedly won their group, bettering the Czech Republic to secure a spot in their second-ever major European competition. After losing two warm-up matches, they defeated Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein, scoring three goals in each game.

 

Potential Starting Lineups for Italy vs Albania

Italy’s likely starting squad in the 3-4-2-1

 

Donnarumma; F. Dimarco, B. Cristante, Jorginho, G. Di Lorenzo; F. Chiesa, L. Pellegrini; G. Scamacca; M. Darmian, A. Bastoni, A. Buongiorno.

Albania’s likely starting lineup in the 4-3-3

 

Strakosha; N. Bajrami, K. Asllani, Y. Ramadani, T. Seferi, Jasir Asani, A. Broja; Mario Mitaj, B. Djimsiti, A. Ismajli, Elseid Hysaj.

Albania versus Italy 1.95 with Parions Sport and 1.50 with Stake for Italy to win and neither team to score

It should come as no surprise that Italy, the current European Champions, are strong favourites to win first in their championship defence. Their odds of 1.39 indicate how much of a favourite they are to win this Group B matchup.

 

Since Croatia and Spain, two other teams in the top 10 rankings, are in the same group as them, winning is essential. In his ten games as manager, Luciano Spalletti has only lost one, and that was against England, the clear favourites in the tournament.

 

Italy is going to control the ball and watch out for Albania’s counterattack. In their nine past opening games in this competition, they have only suffered one loss. They’ll also be confident in stopping a team that hasn’t scored in their last three games against the Faroe Islands, Sweden, and Chile.

 

Albania versus Italy Bet 2: Stake on Gianluca Scamacca Anytime Scorer at 2.43

Gianluca Scamacca really found his form again for Atalanta following a challenging first half of the season. He was so good that Luciano Spalletti was unable to leave him out of the squad for Euro 2024.

 

The 25-year-old attacker scored 19 goals for his team in all competitions. Notably, he has made 11 starts in his last 15 games.

 

At Wembley, the prolific striker beat England to score his first—and thus far only—goal for his nation. With an easy finish, he opened the score.

 

The former West Ham player can be unplayable when he’s feeling it. This seems like a fantastic opportunity for him to demonstrate his undeniable talents, which have resulted in transfer fees totaling €65 million.

 

Albania versus Italy Bet #3 Less than 2.5 goals @ 1.76 with Stake Albania proved in qualifying that they are a disciplined team that is difficult to beat. The Red and Blacks conceded four goals, with only Portugal (2) and France (3) conceding more.

 

A tendency from their previous participation in this competition was seen in six of their eight games with fewer than 2.5 goals scored. In a 2016 group that included France, Switzerland, and Romania, all three matches had fewer than 2.5 goals scored.

 

Italy does not seem to be a team that can blow teams away, as they have preserved a clean sheet in four of their previous five international matches. In all four of the games, there were two goals or fewer.